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Follow Along eSports Bets and Predictions - Dota 2 The International 8

The International 8 is the biggest eSports event of the year!

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I will be trying to make a profit out of this tournament so I think about sharing some bets and predictions about the coming games.
This will be a short journey and if I succeed on it, I might continue sharing picks on different esports matches and might as well do sports (for e.g. Basketball and Tennis).
So if anyone wants to add and verse out their opinions on my predictions and picks, feel free to comment on this thread. Let us make things lively and help each other during this course.

For schedule of the games* Let's be updated.
  • Group Stage - August 15th - August 18th, 2018
    • All eighteen teams are divided into two groups where they play in a Round Robin format.
      • All matches are played in a Bo2.
      • The top four teams in each group advance to the Upper Bracket of the Main Event.
      • The bottom team in each group is eliminated.
      • The remaining teams advance to the Lower Bracket of the Main Event.
  • Main Event - August 20th - August 25th, 2018
    • Sixteen teams play in a double-elimination format over six days.
      • Eight teams begin in the Upper Bracket, eight in the Lower Bracket.
      • First Lower Bracket round is Bo1, Grand Finals are Bo5, all others rounds are Bo3.
For doing bets: I'll be using units betting.
I will be predicting the games but not bet on all of them, its always the risk you take if you follow it. :) Moreover, I will share some of my slips especially during the Main Event.
Good luck to us:)
 
DAY 1 - The International 8
Few hours remaining before the groupstage starts!
It's Day 1 of The International 8 and we have'nt seen the teams compete yet at this level. There's no concrete picks to be made at this moment so we will rely on what their performances are before and how strong they look as a team.

PS: The numbers beside the team are their rankings based from jD (JoinDota.com) I know it doesn't have that much effect on how the game will turn out because Dota 2 is an unpredictable game with many heroes to choose and play with. It's just a matter of psychological factor that helps us pick sometimes.

Well, lets proceed!

Group A Series A

PSG.LGD (1) vs. OG (13)
Prediction: PSG.LGD 2 - 0 OG
Bet: PSG.LGD -0.5 @1.655 (-153) 3 units
Risk: Low
OP'nion(?): LGD is the #1 team in China and the World while team OG just formed their team recently just for this tournament. They've been consistently shaky at most times so taking LGD is the better choice.

Team Liquid (3) vs Fnatic (5)
Prediction: Liquid 2 - 0 Fnatic
Bet: Fnatic +0.5 @2.261 (+126) 1 unit
Risk: High
OP'nion(?): Though Liquid are the champions of last TI and they're serious on defending it, Fnatic have the surprise factor in this bo2 game. I can feel that they can pull an upset here.

Mineski (10) vs IG (16)

Prediction: Mineski 2 - 0
Bet: Mineski -0.5 @2.083 (+108) 1 unit
Risk: Medium
OP'nion(?): Disciplined Mineski team vs the slumping IG team. I just don't feel IG taking a game here or maybe they will if Mineski plays sh*tty dota which is highly unlikely.

Evil Geniuses(6) vs VGJ.Thunder (15)
Prediction:: Evil Geniuses 2 - 0 VGJ.Thunder
Bet: Evil Geniuses -0.5@ 1.824 (-121) 1 unit
Risk: Medium
OP'nion(?): This is seriously a coin toss game but since EG got their groove back without losing any series and mostly 2-0 during the qualifiers, I'm backing them to take this bo2 with a sweep.

*Odds are taken at Nitrogensports.eu, betting with bitcoins.

Updates on how Day 1 turns out will be posted on Day 2. Cheers everyone! More Day 1 picks coming!
I will share my slips during Main Stage but probably going to have to during the groupstage. Look out! ^^
If you follow, bet at your own risk. Much love! :)
 
Day 1 The International 8

Group B Series B1
11:30 PT/ 14:30 ET/ 20:30 CEST

VG (9) vs. VGJ.S (8)
Prediction: VG 1 - 1 VGJ.S
Bet: VGJ.Storm +0.5 @1.430 (-233) 3 units
Risk: Low / Safe Bet
OP'nion: Either team can beat each other but VGJ.Storm's team looks better on paper.

Newbee (12) vs. TNC (7)
Prediction: Newbee 1 - 1 TNC
Bet: TnC +0.5 @1.451 (-222) 3 units
Risk: Low
OP'nion: Newbee was the 1st runner up last TI 7 but hasn't showed up their true strength for months since then while TnC are known as the Chinese slayers in the Dota 2 community. TnC can take a game against Newbee or might take it 2-0.

Secret (4) vs. Serenity (25)
Prediction: Team Secret 2 - 0 Serenity
Bet: Team Secret -0.5 @1.832 (-120) 3 units
Risk: Medium
OP'nion: Serenity were flawless during their qualifier run, I still wonder if they can do it in the bigger stage. They are considered as the dark horse. We will see later. Hence, I'll take this bet as the odds are just so good for Secret. Taking the risk.

Virtus Pro (2) vs. Optic (11)
Prediction: VP 2 - 0 Optic
Bet: Virtus Pro -0.5 @1.505 (-198) 3 units
Risk: Low
OP'nion: Virtus Pro is the most consistent team in Dota 2, they are undeniably strong. I feel they will take this 2 games fast and easy.I'm expecting this team to be on top 1 in bracket B at the end of this group stage.

If you follow, bet at your own risk. Much love! :)
 
Day 1 The International 8

Group A | Series A2
14:00 PT/ 17:00 ET/ 23:00 CEST

IG (16) vs. Evil Geniuses (6)
Prediction: IG 0 - 2 EG
Bet: Evil Geniuses -0.5 @1.927 (-108) 2 units
Risk: Medium

PSG.LGD (1) vs. VGJ.T (15)
Prediction: PSG.LGD 2 - 0 VGJ.T
Bet: PSG.LGD -0.5 @1.568 (-176) 2 units
Risk: Low

Liquid (3) vs. OG (13)
Prediction: Liquid 2 - 0 OG
Bet: Team Liquid -0.5 @1.593 (-169) 2 units
Risk: Low

Mineski (10) vs. Winstrike (14)
Prediction: Mineski* 1 - 1 Winstrike
Bet: Mineski -0.5 @2.449 (+145) 1 unit
Risk: High


Group B | Series B2
16:30 PT/19:30 ET/ 01:30 CEST

paIN (17) vs. NewBee (12)
Prediction: paIN 1 - 1 Newbee*
Bet: Newbee -0.5 @2.162 (+116) 1 unit
Risk: Medium

VG (9) vs. TnC (7)
Prediction: VG 1 - 1 TnC*
Bet: TnC +0.5 @1.532 (-188) 3 units
Risk: Medium

Secret (4) vs. VGJ.S (8)
Prediction: Secret* 1 - 1 VGJ.S
Bet: Team Secret -0.5 @2.567 (+157) 1 unit
Risk: High

VP (2) vs. Serenity (25)
Prediction: VP 2 - 0 Serenity
Bet: Virtus Pro -0.5 @1.392 (-255) 3 units
Risk:Low
 
Day 1 The International 8

Last set of games. Just putting this in 40 mins before games starts as I'm at school teaching kids. :)

Evil Geniuses v Mineski
Game: Mineski +0.5 @1.600 (-167) 3 units

Fnatic v VGJ.Thunder
Game: Fnatic -0.5 @2.330 (+133) 3 units

Parlay
Team Liquid v PSG.LGD
Game: PSG.LGD +0.5 @1.392 (-255)
Winstrike v IG
Game: IG +0.5 @1.313 (-319)
Game Parlay @1.824, 5 units
 
Day 2 The International

Didn't make yet the w/l but I think things went south yesterday with me going even on my chosen bets. Will post a spradsheet as soon as I'm done with my school works. :)

For now.

TnC v paiN Gaming
Game: TnC -0.5 @2.567 (+157) 1 unit

VGJ.Storm v OpTic
Game: OpTic +0.5 @1.422 (-237) 5 units *POD*

Vici Gaming v Newbee
Game: Vici Gaming +0.5 @1.478 (-209) 2 units

Virtus Pro v Team Secret
Game: Virtus Pro -0.5 @1.995 (-101) 1 unit
 
Day 2 The International 8

Newbee v OpTic
Game: OpTic +0.5 @1.368 (-272) 5 units *Lock*Parlay Worthy*

Team Secret v paiN Gaming
Game: Team Secret -0.5 @2.074 (+107) 1 unit

Vici Gaming v Team Serenity
Game: Vici Gaming -0.5 @2.755 (+176) 1 unit

Virtus Pro v TnC
Game: Virtus Pro -0.5 @1.655 (-153) 2 units

Fnatic v IG
Game: Fnatic -0.5 @2.074 (+107)1 unit

Mineski v OG
Game: OG +0.5 @1.437 (-229) 5 units *Lock*Parlay Worthy*

PSG.LGD v Evil Geniuses
Game: Evil Geniuses +0.5 @1.412 (-243) 2 units

VGJ.Thunder v Winstrike
Game: VGJ.Thunder +0.5 @1.372 (-269) 5 units *Lock*Parlay Worthy*

Team Secret v Vici Gaming
Game: Team Secret -0.5 @2.508 (+151) 1 unit

VGJ.Storm v paiN Gaming
Game: VGJ.Storm -0.5 @2.004 (+100) 1 unit
 
Dota 2 - The International Updates for Day 1 and Day 2

I didn't quite like the results as of now but i'll come back to this! :)
1 unit bets are totally killing me as these bets are the unsure ones.


d12.png
 
Day 3 - The International 8

Evil Geniuses v Winstrike
Game: Evil Geniuses -0.5 @1.540 (-185) 2 units


Fnatic v OG
Game: Fnatic -0.5 @2.696 (+170) 1 unit


Team Liquid v Mineski
Game: Team Liquid -0.5 @1.902 (-111) 1 unit


VGJ.Thunder v IG
Game: IG +0.5 @1.319 (-313) 5 units *POD*Parlay Worthy*


Team Serenity v OpTic
Game: OpTic -0.5 @2.627 (+163) 1 unit


VGJ.Storm v TnC
Game: TnC +0.5 @1.443 (-226) 2 units


Vici Gaming v paiN Gaming
Game: paiN Gaming +0.5 @1.620 (-161) 2 units


Mineski v VGJ.Thunder
Game: Mineski -0.5 @2.498 (+150) 1 unit


OG v IG
Game: IG +0.5 @1.469 (-213) 2 units


PSG.LGD v Fnatic
Game: Fnatic +0.5 @1.650 (-154) 2 units


Team Liquid v Winstrike
Game: Team Liquid -0.5 @1.646 (-155) 2 units


Newbee v VGJ.Storm
Game: VGJ.Storm -0.5 @2.893 (+189) 1 unit


Team Secret v OpTic
Game: Team Secret -0.5 @2.557 (+156) 1 unit


TnC v Team Serenity
Game: TnC -0.5 @2.577 (+158) 1 unit


Virtus Pro v paiN Gaming
Game: Virtus Pro -0.5 @1.481 (-208) 5 units *POD*


Fnatic v Winstrike
Game: Fnatic -0.5 @2.103 (+110) 1 unit


OG v VGJ.Thunder
Game: VGJ.Thunder +0.51.486 (-206) 1 unit


PSG.LGD v IG
Game: IG +0.5 @2.162 (+116) 1 unit


Team Liquid v Evil Geniuses
Game: Evil Geniuses +0.5 @1.351 (-285) 3 units
 
eSports - Dota 2 - The International 8

Lock of the day

Optic ML - 10 units

Cheers! :)
 

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Optic won yesterday. :)

For today!

eSports - Dota 2 - The International 8

Lock of the Day

Team Secret vs Vici Gaming
Team Secret ML @1.736
10 units!

Good luck everyone! :)
 
eSports - Dota 2 - The International 8

Lock of the Day

VGJ.Storm vs Team Secret
VGJ.Stom @(-118) via Betcoin.ag
10 units!

Good luck if you follow :)
 
eSports - Dota 2 - The International 8

Yesterdays bet was a loser.

Today's LOCK!

PSG.LGD v OG
Game: PSG.LGD -1.5 @1.869 (-115)
10 units
 
eSports Dota 2 Finals

Was OG win a fluke in the upper bracket?
We'll see. OG +1.5! 10 units
 

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